Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.027041 0.029081 0.031134 0.033350 0.035672 0.038032 0.040607
2026-01-11 0.023056 0.026231 0.029545 0.033248 0.037260 0.041462 0.046186
2026-01-18 0.021039 0.024930 0.029098 0.033870 0.039155 0.044806 0.051279
2026-01-25 0.019113 0.023471 0.028247 0.033827 0.040123 0.046967 0.054928
2026-02-01 0.017553 0.022264 0.027533 0.033799 0.040985 0.048908 0.058243
2026-02-08 0.016212 0.021194 0.026873 0.033738 0.041725 0.050642 0.061267
2026-02-15 0.015018 0.020209 0.026232 0.033624 0.042340 0.052183 0.064031
2026-02-22 0.014000 0.019366 0.025697 0.033578 0.042986 0.053720 0.066760
2026-03-01 0.012932 0.018394 0.024951 0.033228 0.043226 0.054752 0.068877
2026-03-08 0.011811 0.017294 0.023992 0.032567 0.043052 0.055259 0.070350
2026-03-15 0.010775 0.016244 0.023042 0.031870 0.042790 0.055628 0.071630
2026-03-22 0.010417 0.016056 0.023156 0.032472 0.044096 0.057857 0.075113
2026-03-29 0.009774 0.015489 0.022805 0.032528 0.044788 0.059427 0.077917
2026-04-05 0.009093 0.014845 0.022337 0.032429 0.045292 0.060786 0.080500
2026-04-12 0.008754 0.014649 0.022436 0.033040 0.046675 0.063214 0.084380
2026-04-19 0.008192 0.014106 0.022048 0.032997 0.047216 0.064598 0.086988
2026-04-26 0.007679 0.013603 0.021688 0.032970 0.047759 0.065975 0.089582
2026-05-03 0.007193 0.013112 0.021320 0.032910 0.048245 0.067269 0.092070
2026-05-10 0.006725 0.012619 0.020928 0.032798 0.048648 0.068449 0.094414
2026-05-17 0.006312 0.012186 0.020598 0.032753 0.049124 0.069715 0.096860
2026-05-24 0.005834 0.011626 0.020064 0.032409 0.049190 0.070447 0.098632
2026-05-31 0.005302 0.010947 0.019330 0.031759 0.048828 0.070616 0.099683
2026-06-07 0.004800 0.010283 0.018589 0.031074 0.048395 0.070675 0.100579